Norway leads new-build capex outlook in North Sea

Source: press release, 7 March 2019

Capex outlook for major planned and announced projects by key countries in the North Sea (USD millions), 2019-2025
Capex outlook for major planned and announced projects by key countries in the North Sea (USD millions), 2019-2025 (source: GlobalData, Oil and Gas Intelligence Center)

Norway is expected to spend the highest new-build capital expenditure (capex) of USD 21.2 billion on the development of the planned and announced projects, among the countries in the North Sea, during the period 2019–2025, according to GlobalData, a data and analytics company.

The company’s report: “H1 2019 Production and Capital Expenditure Outlook for Key Planned Upstream Projects in the North Sea – UK Leads Natural Gas Production Outlook” reveals that in the North Sea, around USD18.8 billion is expected to be spent on the development of the 24 planned projects with identified development plans and USD 21.8 billion on 45 early-stage announced projects that are undergoing conceptual studies and are expected to get approved for development.

The UK, the Netherlands and Denmark follow Norway with USD 18 billion, USD 0.8 billion and USD 0.6 billion, respectively, on the development of the planned and announced projects.

Soorya Tejomoortula, Oil & Gas Analyst at GlobalData, comments, “The high new-build capex of Norway on flagship projects such as Johan Sverdrup will help the country to lead crude production in the North Sea, contributing more than 70% of the total crude and condensate production from major planned and announced projects in 2025.”

Among companies, Equinor ASA, Aker BP ASA and Total SA are expected to have the highest capex of USD 7.9 billion, USD 3.3 billion and USD 2.5 billion, respectively between 2019 and 2025.

In terms of operating expenditure (opex), the UK leads with USD 9.9 billion, closely followed by Norway with US D9.7 billion and Denmark with USD 1.3 billion.

In 2025, key projects in the North Sea are expected to contribute about 1,095 thousand barrels of oil per day (mbd) of global crude and condensate production, and about 2,188 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd) of global gas production from planned and announced projects.